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ISIS starting invasion of Central Asia, supported by US: Russian & Chinese sources fear?

Russian Analyst citing sources in Russian & Chinese Intelligence argues that a Islamist group (ISIS) may launch full scale operations in Russian territories through Central Asia using its bases in Afghanistan.

Central Asia
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Andrey Afasanev |

Sources in the Russian military and intelligence agencies say that the preparation of a full-scale offensive operation against Russia through Tajikistan and Uzbekistan is in the final phase. Citing data from closed communication channels with defense ministries of China, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, they say that Afghanistan is the cornerstone issue in this plan.

Similar messages have been received earlier, in particular, this was mentioned at a recent security conference held in the Uzbek capital Tashkent. Then the Tajik Foreign Minister Sirodzhiddin Aslov openly announced the activation of terrorists in the region:

“We see the activation of terrorist groups, their advancement to the northern regions of Afghanistan, especially in the territories bordering with Tajikistan, the increase in the number of ISIS supporters, and the participation of a certain number of citizens of the post-Soviet republics in the terrorist groups and movements present in Afghanistan … this causes our serious concern”.

IS is planning to expand its headcount to 5000 troops settling most of them in Mangals’ province. It is notable that two biggest US military bases in the country are situated near Nangarhar region controlled by IS and corrupt government.

According to Russian intelligence agencies, the number of IS terrorists operating in Afghanistan ranges from 2500 to 4000 people. This data has been confirmed by Ministry of Defense of China. PRC sources say that now there are at least 3800 militants operating in 160 mobile terrorist cells. They are concentrated in the province of Nangarhar on the border with Pakistan where IS has been increasing drug productions and trafficking, as well as creating infrastructure for training of militants and suicide bombers.

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How it is Going to Happen

According to Russian military sources, terrorist are now retreating from Syria and Iraq by sea to the port of Karachi in Southern Pakistan. After that, they get to Peshawar near the Afghan border and settle in Nangarhar province. New HQ of IS in the region is situated in Achin district.

Starting from late 2017 terrorists managed to bring up to 500 militants from Syria and Iraq including several dozens of women. Sources say most of them are citizens of France, Sudan, Kazakhstan, Czech Republic, Uzbekistan etc.  The main objective of IS in Afghanistan is not only destabilizing the country but full-scale invasion to post-soviet Central Asian Republics: Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Tajikistan in order to bring tension to Russian borders in the South.

Russian intelligence sources say there will two routes for IS offensive. One will lead to Tajikistan through Nuristan and Badakhshan provinces, another will go through Farakh, Ghor, Sari-Pul, and Faryab to Turkmenistan.

They are concentrated in the province of Nangarhar on the border with Pakistan where IS has been increasing drug productions and trafficking, as well as creating infrastructure for training of militants and suicide bombers.

The main person behind IS operations the governor of Nangarhar province Mohammad Gulab Mangal. He is using radicals’ infrastructure to enhance his influence in neighboring regions. Moreover, Mangal is well-known for taking part in IS financial operations. Sources say that any attempt of protest by local populations is violently suppressed by authorities, including punitive operations against populated areas.

Read more: Gulf crisis and the future of Middle East

Mangal has been connected to US special services for a long period of time. Wikipedia page about him says current Nangarhar governor took part in a war against Soviet troops back in 80-s. Right after US invasion in 2001, he was appointed the head of local authority. Western media portrays him as the effective and fair statesman, BBC even called Mangal a “New hope for Helmand” – a province he used to govern.

According to Afghan MoD, IS is planning to expand its headcount to 5000 troops settling most of them in Mangals’ province. It is notable that two biggest US military bases in the country are situated near Nangarhar region controlled by IS and corrupt government.

Andret Afasanev is head of political department at Tsargrad News. The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Global Village Space. 


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4 COMMENTS

  1. According to reports they already number more than ten thousand in Afghanistan and are increasing daily. We don’t know how they manage to find their way into Afghanistan with their weapons and supplies, supposedly passing through different countries unhindered. They manage to not only sustain themselves but also fight in a totally unfamiliar and decidedly unfriendly environment without any knowledge of local language, attitudes or terrain.
    It is also not clear who sets up their bases, provides logistic support as well as actionable intelligence, coordinates their activities and exercises operational control over them. All we know for certain is that they are hostile to and are fighting against Afghan Taliban. Russia has pointed the finger at the U.S for bringing them in so has President, Hamid Karzai.
    They first appeared in Libya under different names to oust Qaddafi, and then turned up in Syria in their thousands to try and do the same to Bashar al-Asad. In both the cases even though they were fighting for the same cause as the West, the U.S insist ISIS were terrorists and the enemy. The media also proclaimed the U.S are in Afghanistan to fight not only these terrorists along with Taliban but also to make sure Pakistan’s nuclear weapons do not fall into ‘wrong hands’.
    One would have to be terribly naive to believe that by wrong hands they mean some rag tag band of hillbillies who wouldn’t know the front end of a missile from the back end let aside putting these together and launching the weapons on western targets. They clearly mean by this any regime in Pakistan that could interfere with U.S plans.
    The only inference one can draw is that an essential part of the U.S plan was always to create conditions in Pakistan to destabilise the country and if possible reduce her to the same state as Libya and Syria. The only reason why they have not succeeded so far is because Pakistan’s armed forces retain a considerable measure of cohesion and commitment. It is fortuitous indeed that at the same time China has a strong interest in Pakistan which is a powerful disincentive for anyone wishing to do her harm.

  2. ISI and FVR lies packed up neatly on one site. Lying is Pakistanis and Russians do. Questions? See invasion of Ukraine and where Bin Laden was killed.

    • number one, where is bin laden body? He been dead for years! everyone knows this except USA lol u don’t kill a dead man mate. They threw his body in the sea like megatron as they didn’t want his body to become a “shrine”, gtfo. ok then why wasn’t Saddam accorded the same protocol? Americans lie and lie and lie. they lose lose and lose. whether Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan. U got whooped by a few tribeman. live with that mr superpower

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