Who will win US Presidential elections 2020?

The statistics, predictions, surveys and analysis, at the moment, are favoring Joe Biden. All countries are watching the US elections to re-align their diplomatic relations with the US if Joe Biden makes it to the White House.

US elections

As the race for US Presidential elections 2020 enters a very important phase as November 3rd, the polls day draws nearer, President Donald Trump’s fears increase with each passing day as his fiasco on domestic as well as foreign fronts will be the sole reason for his bitter defeat in upcoming Presidential Elections, as the top analysts predict given his irresponsible statements and aggressive temperament.

Trumps’ flawed pandemic policies cost precious lives but he has levelled serious allegations against his arch-rival China for the pandemic spread and even termed it a ”Wuhan virus” crossing all the limits of sensibility to understand the gravity of the issue.

President Donald Trump has miserably failed to deliver the desired output in his four-year term especially his Anti-Afro American tirade, incompetence and lack of seriousness regarding the alarming Covid-19 pandemic that has already gobbled thousands of lives of innocent people belonging to all age groups.

He was even noticed making fun of the virus claiming it will do no harm until the situation became grim each passing day.

The death toll from pandemic has already surpassed 2 lacs and millions are still infected with covid-19 and with more causality are feared as the winter sets in America. The infections ratio is likely to go up due to cold weather throughout the world.

Read more: Trump vs Biden: Race to the White House

Trumps’ flawed pandemic policies cost precious lives but he has levelled serious allegations against his arch-rival China for the pandemic spread and even termed it a ”Wuhan virus” crossing all the limits of sensibility to understand the gravity of the issue. His delayed response towards the pandemic has made the situation worse, to the extent that it is ranked higher in lieu of covid-19 cases per day.

It pertinent to mention here that even he himself falls prey to the covid-19 and was quarantined for 14 days but he came out publicly declaring victory over the novel covid-19 infection after medical practitioners declared him completely healthy.

On the other hand, the Vice President nominee for democrats, Kamala Harris may increase the chances of Joe Biden’s historical win in upcoming US Presidential Elections 2020 as she represents the Afro-American community and is more importantly, a lady.

Read more: Trump or Biden – Who is best for Pakistan?

This will further the support of Joe Biden from the huge Black community that is already antagonist towards Donald trump due to his racial comments as well as incidents of sheer violation of human rights especially the Afro-American community.

The situation is changing with each passing day as Donald Trump’s impatience during the Presidential debate against Joe Biden ruined his popularity graph as he interrupted his opponent between his responses.

Joe Biden extends full support to the “Black Lives Matter Initiative” and justice campaign for George Floyd who was brutally murdered by police. He even supports the vulnerable ex-pats and the Muslim community in the USA. The Muslim community has been the most effected due to Trump’s immigration policies and restrictions.

Trump’s questionable policies 

Trump has played havoc with the policies especially the foreign policy and triggering a trade war with China that prompted Trump to level serious allegations against China for spreading the virus and banning Chinese telecom giant Huawei. He criticized the Chinese aggressive role in South Asia especially standoff with India, controlling the South China sea and signing agreements with Iran.

He was heavily criticized when he cut off funding for UN’s sister organization WHO, primarily dealing with global health issues, various diseases and viral infections worldwide.

Read more: Trump’s VP Pence urges US voters, slams “Joe Biden’s America” as not “safe

It was a big surprise for all who are social workers that he stopped funding for a UN agency, amid soaring pandemic situation worldwide which seemed a very irresponsible decision during a global emergency. He ended many pacts, such as ones pertaining to the environment, the nuclear deal with Iran and influenced the Arab world especially Saudi Arab, UAE and Turkey to recognize Israel.

The situation is changing with each passing day as Donald Trump’s impatience during the Presidential debate against Joe Biden ruined his popularity graph as he interrupted his opponent between his responses.

One credit must certainly go to President Donald Trump for signing a peace deal with the Afghan Taliban with the help of Pakistan

The moderator of the debate was compelled to request Donald Trump to not interrupt and let the opponent clear his viewpoint but he did not listen.

The debate earned the highest ranking for Joe Biden and even the recent Vice President candidates debate between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Mike Pence was also hot as Kamala Harris talked confidently and openly while Mike pence despite being in the government could not devise a fair response as per the analysis and viewpoint of political pundits and opinion Writers of reputed media houses and notable newspapers of the US and UK such as New York Times, Washington Post, The Guardian, The Sun, CNN, BBC and  CBS report.

Read more: Biden and Harris promise to “rebuild” America after Trump

The Presidential election candidates come up with clear policies, especially Joe Biden, to focus on internal and foreign policy, environment, pandemic and rights of Black people as he chose Kamala Harris for his running mate for the Vice President slot and so far, she has proved her worth remarkably.

On the other hand, Donald Trump has wreaked havoc with the foreign policy as the American image was tarnished globally specially enmity with Iran and meddling in the affairs of the Middle East such as Palestine by influencing the policy of “Deal of the century” which failed altogether, as it was based on giving lion’s share of territory to Israel against the wishes of Palestinian People. The Palestinian people started protesting the proposed plan.

One credit must certainly go to President Donald Trump for signing a peace deal with the Afghan Taliban with the help of Pakistan. Pakistan was requested to bring Taliban on the negotiating table. Although the deal has been signed, the chances of inter Afghan dialogue yet to take place, as India is prying in the affairs of Afghanistan over the fear of Taliban coming into power as Taliban had threatened Delhi over Kashmir lockdown. And on August 5, 2019, unilateral move that had changed the special status of Indian occupied Kashmir by repealing Article 370.

The signing of UAE and Israel deal may also benefit him in elections but the opinions based on his overall performance of four years project a bleak picture thinning his chances of getting re-elected for another four years but unlike 2016 US Presidential elections, problems may take place due to a surprise win in the swing states which always turn the direction of graphs as the behavior of people cannot be estimated or underestimated.

Are the odds in Biden’s favor? 

At the present, based on latest survey results of approval rate, Democrat Joe Biden leads the Presidential race by 56% while the President Donald Trump trails at 43%. Meaning, Joe Biden enjoys the support of over 50% Americans and this lead may help Joe Biden win November 03, 2020, US Polls with thumping majority.

The tough contest is expected to take place in Michigan, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania as the political history unfolds such battlegrounds in these states since these states may change the numbers in anybody’s favor.

In addition to swing states, a new state comes into play that is Arizona which will also turn the picture topsy turvy and may prove the prediction of various columnists, analysts and observers wrong with the shocking outcome of results as they start pouring in on 3rd November and afterwards.

Read more: Trump claims Biden ‘not competent’ and ‘mentally shot’ to be President

There were some rumors that Trump may refuse to leave the white house if he loses or may challenge the poll results if they went against his favor.

These are just fears and illusions as no such thing will happen, given the strong legislative system in place in the USA. Even the polls cannot be postponed with any executive order passed by Presidents. Even media talks and legal experts rejected such claims and fears owing to strong constitutional arrangements in place.

Though a lot will depend on the Presidential debates and campaigns to consolidate maximum votes to get to White House.

The pandemic has already frightened the public due to its fatal nature putting the US elections on high risk, but the American people are well educated and they will vote for their favorite candidate, either Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Donald Trump.

Read more: Biden promises to overturn Trump’s ‘vile’ Muslim travel ban

There is one thing is certain. The “Black lives Matter ” campaign that started after George Floyd’s brutal killing has already paved the way for Joe Biden to win elections since he supports equality and rejects racism and promises to legislate on police reforms so that such acts, in the future, could be averted but unlike Asian states, any upset may steal the show on November 03, 2020, the Tuesday when US citizens will elect 46th President of United States of America.

The statistics, predictions, surveys and analysis, at the moment are favoring Joe Biden. All countries are watching the US elections to re-align their diplomatic relations with the US if Joe Biden makes the way to the White House.

Abdul Rahman Malik is a Policy Researcher, Governance Specialist and Development Sector Professional having worked for Asian Development Bank and other National and International Development Organizations. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Global Village Space.


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