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Why Pakistan needs a new tax model for economic prosperity

Huzaima Bukhari & Dr. Ikramul Haq discuss in an enlightening piece how Pakistan's tax policy reforms undertaken to date, have mainly been patchwork and proven to be an exercise in futility. The only viable option for meaningful change is to replace the existing tax system with a lower, flat, and predictable tax system that is simple, pragmatic, growth-oriented, and broad-based.

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|Huzaima Bukhari & Dr. Ikramul Haq 

There is hardly any doubt about the huge tax gap in Pakistan that is about 70% of the actual collection if not more. It is not only because of weaknesses in enforcement of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) and provincial tax agencies but is also attributed to bad tax policy. According to Pakistan Telecommunication Authority (PTA), the total number of cellular subscribers as of October  31, 2021, was 187 million (85.33% teledensity).

Out of these, 106 million are 3G/4G subscribers (48.19% penetration), 2 million basic telephony users (1.13 teledensity), and 108 million broadband subscribers (40.08% penetration). No less than 100 million unique mobile users (many have more than one SIMs) are paying advance/adjustable income tax of 10% reduced from 12.5% from July 1, 2021).

The Chairman of FBR, while speaking at a seminar in Islamabad on November 17, 2021, arranged by Prime Institute, said that “besides the challenge of over 4 million people remaining outside the tax net, there is also the issue of reduction in the average tax paid by a return filer”.

In 2015, he said, “the average tax paid by the return filer stood at Rs. 23,640, which fell to just Rs. 10,914 in 2019. “However, the trend has started reversing and the figure crossed Rs. 17,000 by the tax year 2020”, he added.

Read more: PTI govt poised to achieve Rs5.8 trn tax target

It was pointed out by us in the seminar that at present, the entire taxable population and even those having no income or income below taxable limit were paying advance and adjustable income tax at source as mobile users. If all file income tax returns, there will be a refund payable to at least 80 million who have no income or income below the taxable limit though the cost to claim will be much higher than what is withheld at source by telecoms.

Bad tax policy measure?

FBR must collect taxes where due and not in advance or from those not chargeable to tax. Sadly 75 paise federal excise duty on cell calls exceeding 5-minute was levied in the Finance Act 2021 in utter apathy towards the poor. It was also in violation of the Constitution of Pakistan as held by Sindh High Court in its judgment in the case of certain telecoms [C.P. No. D-4778 to 4780 of 2021] endorsing Pakistan International Freight Forwarding Association v Province of Sindh & Another [(2016) 114 TAX 413 (H.C. Kar.).

It was a bad tax policy measure—impractical to implement for operators, anti-poor, and inconsequential to the efforts of FBR to raise the desired revenue through already oppressive indict taxes.

The coalition government of Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) must stop taxing the less-privileged and downtrodden. Why were the poor subjected to oppressive taxes like 75 paise for cell call exceeding 5-minute and 10% advance income on mobile and/or internet use from July 1, 2021? The rich and mighty are still enjoying free perks and benefits.

The heavy taxation on electricity bills and a number of food items and items of daily use by the citizens is totally unjustified when tax expenditure was above Rs. 1.5 billion in the financial year 2020-21.

Read more: Pakistan’s economy moving towards growth?

The tax credits for senior citizens and special people that were available before the enhancement of tax rates by the Finance Act, 2019 should be restored after the higher tax rates were reverted too soon after coming into power by the PTI Government.

While the exporters of services from the tax year 2022 are to be taxed at 1%, a laudable amendment to bring them at par with the export of goods, it is not provided that how much credit would be taken in books and why should they follow cumbersome procedures.

The definition of “imputable income” is available in the Income Tax Ordinance, 2001 and must be applied in the case of exporters of services provided that if they claim higher credit than the same, the actual working must be given. In case of a wrong claim, punitive measures should be available.

Many self-acclaimed professionals, selected as committees announced by the government to remove anomalies and technical issues (sector-wise, etc.) have failed to even remove these obvious lacunas, what to speak of suggesting a pro-growth and investment-friendly tax policy helping in creating jobs from agriculture to high tech knowledge-based initiatives, rather than emphasizing on bricks and mortars. They must be reminded of the couplet of great poet and thinker, Dr. Allama Muhammad Iqbal:

Jahan-e-Taza Ki Afkar-e-Taza Se Hai Namood

Ke Sang-o-Khisht Se Hote Nahin Jahan Paida

New worlds derive their pomp from ideas fresh and new

A world was neither built nor grew from stones and bricks. 

The federal and provincial governments in Pakistan have shown a lukewarm attitude in restructuring the ineffective, outmoded, colonial-era institutions, including the country’s tax system to achieve efficiency, equity and to promote economic growth. Complex tax codes, complicated procedures, reliance on easily-collectible indirect taxes, weak enforcement, inefficiencies, incompetence, and corruption are the main factors for low tax collection.

Read more: Pakistan’s Economy: long term direction?

Pakistan’s tax policy: An exercise in futility

Instead of broadening the tax base and simplifying laws, federal and provincial governments offer amnesties, immunities, tax-free perks, and perquisites to powerful segments of society. As a result of this policy mindset, ordinary businesses and citizens suffer. In these columns, we have been repeatedly discussing and pleading for radical revamping and restructuring of the entire tax system, through low-rate, broad-based and predictable taxes, a single national tax agency, and a national tax court.

Tax policy reforms undertaken to date, have mainly been patchwork and proven to be an exercise in futility. Tax reform commissions and consultative committees constituted for reforming the system, have proven to be unsuccessful as they have been suggesting remedies for curing the incurable or otherwise curing symptoms rather than addressing causes.

The reforms, including World Bank-funded six-year-long Tax Administration Reforms Project (TARP), also failed to encourage people towards voluntary tax compliance. In 2020, the Federal Government obtained a loan of US $ 400 million for Pakistan Raises Revenue (PRR) Project. It may be mentioned that the total cost of the PRR Project was estimated at US $ 1.6 billion, of which counterpart contribution is $1.2 billion and IDA financing is US$ 400 million.

Following in the footsteps of the Federal Government, the Punjab Government also decided to borrow US $ 304 million from the World Bank for tax reforms and it was approved by Planning Commission on September 16, 2020. Like earlier programs, these are also bound to fail. The Chairman FBR in a seminar held in Islamabad on November 17, 2021 [Famous economist Dr. Arthur B. Laffer was key speaker] said: “[FBR] is “better off” without a $400 million World Bank loan”.

Read more: Uprooting Corruption: Lessons from China

The only solution for Pakistan?

The government must lower the rate of taxes and allow the capital formation to accelerate high and sustainable growth by investing in productive sectors and heavily taxing unproductive investment in open plots etc. It is possible only through a simple tax model as elaborated in Towards Flat, Low-rate, Broad and Predictable Taxes (PRIME Institute, December 2020) and Tax Reforms in Pakistan: Historic & Critical Review (PIDE, Islamabad).

It was also emphasized by Dr. Arthur B. Laffer in his keynote address on November 17, 2021, at PRIME’s 1st Prosperity Forum 2021. The relief is given to small and medium enterprises (SMEs) as manufacturers up to turnover of Rs. 250 million in the Finance Act, 2021, should have been for retailers and other taxpayers as well, without any discrimination. Low-rate tax on a broad base with a simple compliance procedure is needed to collect Rs. 10 trillion as highlighted in Towards Flat, Low-rate, Broad, and Predictable Taxes (PRIME Institute, December 2020).

The only viable option for meaningful change is to replace the existing tax system with a lower, flat, and predictable tax system that is simple, pragmatic, growth-oriented, and broad-based. It is time that government and all political parties should consider it seriously if we have to make Pakistan a prosperous country and egalitarian state—an economic power with 220 million people to have its say in global matters for a safer, just and peaceful place for the humanity at large, especially in the wake of the US and its allies complete retreat from Afghanistan and leaving the region in turmoil. It must forge alliances with Golden Ring countries to protect its national interests and progress rapidly in all areas.

Huzaima Bukhari & Dr. Ikramul Haq, lawyers, and partners of Huzaima, Ikram & Ijaz, are Adjunct Faculty at Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), members of Advisory Board and Visiting Senior Fellows of Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE). The views expressed in the article are the writers’ own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Global Village Space. 

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