Indian great game
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Imtiaz Gul

The unilateral border closure by Pakistan on February 15 once again exposed the current extremely brittle and acrimonious nature of its current relations with Afghanistan. Slogans such as “Death to Pakistan, Down with Pakistan,” not only resonated at rallies in Kabul and Jalalabad but also made super-leads of the newspapers and electronic media in Afghanistan.

Similar sentiments ran high also during a meeting between a Pakistani civil society delegation and the top hierarchy of the Afghanistan Chamber of Commerce and Industries (ACCI) on February 19 at Kabul, a day after Pakistan had handed Afghan officials a list of 76 wanted terrorists nestled in their country.

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Expectedly, Kabul responded with its list of 85 Taliban and Haqqani Network leaders on the Pakistani soil, which it claimed were involved in “crimes against people of Afghanistan.”

Effect of border closure by Pakistan

Meanwhile, thousands of cargo trucks, passenger vehicles and tens of thousands of people are stranded on both sides of the border. A humanitarian and business crisis indeed, with scores of families separated, and perishable cargo rotting on board trucks.

Leading businessmen were all outrage, complaining of massive losses they have suffered in the last five or so years due to the intermittent closure of the border. It has also resulted in a drastic reduction of Afghanistan’s transit trade through Pakistan.

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They pointed out that Iran’s Bandar Abbas is more expensive but that is a much more certain and secure route. Trust on Karachi is minimal due to corruption from the clearing processes in Karachi to the transition through the border at Chaman and Torkham.

In many cases, massive demurrage charges accruing from delays forced the importers to abandon their cargo. Afghan traders also complained of unusually high taxes on seasonal fruits.

former Indian army chief Gen Bikram Singh told a national TV recently; asked how to deal with Pakistan he offered this recipe; If we can fuel insurrectionist movements in Pakistan (ref Balochistan), its army will start looking inwards instead of thinking of Kashmir.

We asked them whether one could delink business from politics and whether business could function normally in abnormal political conditions such as the current ones, they offered little response.

The halt in human and commercial cargo, allegations and exchange of lists of wanted terrorists is a bitter reminder of what has bedevilled the Pakistan-India relations too for decades. It hasn’t taken the two countries anywhere forward.

Most Afghan officials, however, refuse to look at the latest wave of terror in the context of India’s “teach and bleed Pakistan” policy. Afghans don’t grasp what has all the contours of an “Indian Great Game”

Both Pakistan and Afghanistan are reeling from a spate of terrorist attacks in January and February thus far — which have taken over 400 lives. Speaking to the visiting Track 1.5 delegation, acting foreign minister Hikmet Karzai and extremely highly-placed officials at NDS indicated their readiness to “in-depth discussions” on contentious issues.

If the Afghan Taliban are providing the umbrella and sanctuaries for the TTP, Jamaatul Ahrar, ETIM, IMU, Chechen terrorists and Jundullah, why not confront them jointly, asked an official.

Teach and bleed Pakistan” policy of India

Most Afghan officials, however, refuse to look at the latest wave of terror in the context of India’s “teach and bleed Pakistan” policy. Afghans don’t grasp what has all the contours of an “Indian Great Game”; they fail to relate the current wave of terror with what former Indian army chief Gen Bikram Singh told a national TV recently; asked how to deal with Pakistan he offered this recipe; If we can fuel insurrectionist movements in Pakistan (ref Balochistan), its army will start looking inwards instead of thinking of Kashmir.

Leading businessmen were all outrage, complaining of massive losses they have suffered in the last five or so years due to the intermittent closure of the border.

We have to refocus them on internal conditions. It will be possible only when we will spill their blood through asymmetric means. No military establishment will overlook such posturing from across the border. Neither will it dismiss the possibility of another country’s soil being used for “spilling the blood”.

Read more: Pakistanis & Indo-Afghan Terrorism: Pakistanis don’t know how to respond?

This complicated context, this new “Great Game”, this time apparently being played by India, makes it all the more important for Afghan and Pakistani officials to resume their dialogue for the larger benefit of millions of suffering common people – and to realize how they are being set on a collision course by others.

Meaningful talks on Information sharing among the security or resumption of dialogue on modern border management as a means to control and monitor human and cargo traffic via international crossings could offer a meeting point. Both must shun the past baggage and move on for a sincere, substantial dialogue to ease human suffering and normalise relations. Both Pakistan & Afghanistan must realize that they are being used in another’s “Great Game”

 

Imtiaz Gul is the founder and Executive Director of the Centre for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), an Islamabad-based think tank. The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect Global Village Space’s editorial policy. An earlier slightly different version of this piece was first published in The Express Tribune. It has been reprinted with permission.

Imtiaz Gul is the founder and Executive Director of Center for Research and Security Studies, an Islamabad-based think tank that he founded in December 2007. He is a prominent columnist and author of several books on South Asia including “Pakistan: Before & After Osama Bin Laden”.He regularly appears as an analyst on Pakistani TV channels as well as the Doha-based Al-Jazeera English/Arabic satellite TV channel for his expertise in areas such as Afghanistan/Tribal Areas / and the Kashmir militancy.He is a prominent columnist writing for the Express Tribune, Daily Times, Foreign Policy and many others. He is the author of several books on South Asia, his latest book “Pakistan: Before & After Osama Bin Laden”.He regularly appears as an analyst on Pakistani TV channels as well as the Doha-based Al-Jazeera English/Arabic satellite TV channel for his expertise in areas such as Afghanistan/Tribal Areas / and the Kashmir militancy.He has presented papers and given talks at universities and international security and counter-terror conferences in Brussels, Tokyo, Berlin, New Delhi, Kabul, New York, Washington, the Hague, Riyadh, Italy, Oslo, Stockholm, Beijing.http://www.imtiazgul.com/

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