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Monday, April 15, 2024

Major powers and regional instability in Middle East

The writer discusses how the area is a victim of sectarian conflicts. To assist the Middle East in solving the sectarian conflicts, outside powers often interfere in the region because they want to take advantage of the area which is rich in resources, however, such interference only deepens the conflict.

The Middle East has long been a battleground for major powers in accordance with its significant geostrategic landscape and potential energy resources following possession of five mammoth seas – the Caspian Sea, the Black Sea, the Mediterranean Sea, the Red Sea and the Persian Gulf.

The region proudly owns 52.5% of the total crude oil reserves of the world as well as 44.6% of total natural gas reserves.

The Middle East is home to multiple ethnic groups and is frequently entangled in various conflicts and crises which is not only vitiating the stable atmosphere but also promoting outside powers to rush into this conflict-prone region and achieve their nefarious designs under the garb of volatility and instability.

Read more: Added conflicts and proxies: Redefining the Middle Eastern alliances

Bold sectarian conflict

The sectarian issue has been ingrained in the roots of the Middle East’s regional politics but the Saudi-Iranian rivalry for the quest of regional hegemony has further emboldened the spirit of sectarian politics.

On one hand, the post-Saddam Shia regime in Iraq, as well as the Arab Spring, have blessed Iran with increased leverage and greater influence and on the other hand, Sunni monarchies’ activism has added to the sense of instability and the politics of sectarian cleavages in the region.

Read more: Iran has the potential to boost uranium enrichment to 60%: Khamenei

Syria is going to be a forthcoming bastion for the prevailing wave of sectarianism. The country seems to be an emerging political structure to reinforce sectarian factions and escalate sectarian tensions in the region.

Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon and Bahrain are also going through the phase of sectarian apprehensions that can be possibly exploited by external powers.

The interest of outside powers

To be pertinent, the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 and the devastating repercussions of the Arab uprisings in 2011 have overwhelmingly contributed in terms of triggering an environment fraught with ever-lasting turmoil and pandemonium.

In addition, the signing of the Iran Nuclear Deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) has also added to the insecurities and tensions in the already-plagued region.

Read more: Iran’s nuclear accord and the obstacles it faces

The outside powers -the USA, China and Russia- are playing an active role in the region. The sole objective of the US has been to maintain its predominance in the region by employing all means of power including military force.

To prevent the spread of nuclear weapons had been another key interest of the US in the Middle East in order to preserve its interests regarding oil security or Israel security concerning the palpable Iranian potential threat.

Ergo, the United States has maintained a range of security relationships in numerous Middle Eastern countries.

Read more: US wants to ensure Iran never becomes a nuclear armed country

What do Russia and China want from the Middle East?

In the post-cold war era, the Russian engagement with the Middle East can be viewed through the prism of counteracting separatist movements at the North Caucasus in Russia being financed by the Gulf countries.

Russia faced severe criticism from Muslim countries for suppressing Chechen struggles to the right of self-determination but Russia’s opposition to the Iraq war and anti-Western rhetoric has helped bridged the gap and have gotten engaged with several Middle Eastern states economically. Their economic relations cover three areas: arms sales, energy supply and investment, thus playing an active role in the region.

Read more: Russia urges Biden must lift sanctions on Tehran to save nuclear deal

Undeniably, China is heavily dependent on energy resources. China’s primary interest in the Middle East has been only to meet its energy needs but simmering tensions in East Asia have compelled Chinese policymakers to launch two mega initiatives – the Silk Road Economic Belt and the Maritime Silk Road in order to construct ports and adopt cheap and sustainable trade routes through Central Asia and the Middle East.

Furthermore, the internal security and stability of China and the Middle East seem to be correlative. They can have a mutual influence which has forced China to act as a cautious player in Middle East affairs.

Read more: The Middle-Eastern conflict: Threatening for Pakistan and China’s OBOR

In a nutshell, the blazing fire of sectarian rivalry by regional players and the exploitation of energy resources by extra-regional players are central regarding perpetual violence and regional instability. Until and unless, the mistrust and suspicion among the key players tend to rein, the prospects of peace are darkened in the troubled region.

The writer is an independent blogger and freelancer based in Quetta and can be reached at mannansaamad@gmail.com. The views expressed in the article are the writer’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Global Village Space.