Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Sector Grows at Fastest Pace in Three Months Despite Regional Uncertainty

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector expanded at the fastest pace in three months in May as domestic demand ​improved and supply chains stabilized, while business optimism remained ‌subdued amid conflict in the region, a survey showed on Wednesday.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index, compiled by ​S&P Global, rose to 52.8 in May from 51.5 ​in April. The 50-mark separates growth from contraction.

Output ⁠accelerated at the fastest pace in three months after ​March’s downturn following the start of the Iran war,as firms cited ​normalising working conditions, revived contracts and stronger local demand. The new orders subindex rose only modestly to 52.0 in May from April’s 51.5 reading, ​and remained well below the long-run trend.

Export sales fell ​sharply for a third straight month, hit by shipping disruption, higher freight ‌and ⁠fuel costs, geopolitical tensions and stronger competition. The pace of decline eased only modestly from April’s survey-record contraction.

However, supply chains improved, with suppliers’ delivery times shortening for the first time ​in three months ​as firms ⁠relied more on local vendors. Backlogs of work rose for an 11th consecutive month, albeit moderately.

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“Overall, ​the latest PMI reading supports the expectation ​that Saudi ⁠Arabia’s non-oil economy will continue its upward trend during the remainder of 2026,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, Riyad Bank’s chief economist.

Business ⁠optimism remained ​muted, however, with some companies’ hopeful ​of a market recovery in the coming year but also wary about geopolitical ​tensions and inflation.