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Baluchistan: The heart of Ajit Doval doctrine

Baluchistan: The heart of Ajit Doval doctrine

Abdul Rasool Syed |

With the assumption of country’s top office, premier Modi, infamous for his hawkish inclination, kicked off a Machiavellian campaign to upset the regional balance of power. He is found to be madly in love to install India as a regional hegemon, an aspiration endearing cherished by his political mentors and ideologues. To further his mission, he was in need of a man having the same offensive proclivities.

He, therefore, selected Ajit Doval, the former Director IB (Intelligence Bureau) as National security advisor—a man widely notorious for his covert operations against Pakistan. Mr. Doval without an iota of any doubt is a real hawk in all connotations of the term “Hawk”. This claim was substantiated by the former head of RAW (Research and analysis wing) A.S Daulat who characterized Doval in one of his talks as “the hawkish Ajit Doval”.

To encapsulate, the yearning for peace between India and Pakistan in the presence of Ajit Doval and the like-minded in the Indian security establishment is just like crying for the moon.

He is the prime mind behind the aggressive and offensive posture that India has adopted for the last some years. To add, when India upped the ante against China following the skirmishes on the border near Sikkim, in the Doklam region, the state-run media in that country also described Doval as India’s “main Schemer”. Doval like his boss Modi is a key advocate and mouthpiece of Hindutva and aggressively promotes Hindu nationalism. That’s why he is the blue-eyed boy of Modi.

This duo (Doval- Modi) is extremely dangerous for the region, especially for Pakistan. Doval stationed in Pakistan for seven years. He frequently visited mosques to offer prayers and befriended with the local people in order to collect sensitive information. Doval is fluent in Urdu and also has an impressive knowledge of Islam. Given these individualities, he deems himself as an unmatched security expert on Pakistan affairs. He further claims that living here in Pakistan; he has learned the Achilles heel of Pakistan.

Read more: Ajit Doval and Kulbhushan: Configuring subversion inside Pakistan

In February 2014, while unleashing his nefarious plot against Pakistan, Doval said: “Pakistan is a neighbour which continues to bleed us. What if we get highly vulnerable domestic situation? How do we go about? We have to find a solution which is a long term, sustainable and affordable. So, first, accept reality. Second, define the problem. “Then, let us make a response. If we go to response, we have to understand what terrorism is.

Generally, when we talk terrorism, it is said senseless, inhumane etc. Yes, it is, but these are tactical issues. Indeed, terrorism is a tactic to achieve ideological or political advantages.” He, further, expatiated on “Political Islam” and asked: “So how to tackle Pakistan? You know, we engage the enemy in three modes. One is a defensive mode. That is, you see what the chokidars and chaprasis do, i.e. to prevent somebody from coming in. One is defensive-offensive.

With the assumption of country’s top office, premier Modi, infamous for his hawkish inclination, kicked off a Machiavellian campaign to upset the regional balance of power.

To defend ourselves, we go to the place where the offence is coming from. We are now in defensive mode. The last mode is called an offensive mode. When we come to defensive-offence, we start working on the vulnerabilities of Pakistan. It can be economic, it can be internal, it can be political; it can be international isolation, defeating their policies in Afghanistan, making it difficult for them to manage internal political lands security balance. It can be anything.

“I am not going into details. But you need to change the engagement from the defensive mode because in the defensive mode you throw 100 stones on me, I stop 90. But 10 still hurt me and I can never win. Because, either I lose or there is a stalemate. You throw a stone when you want, you have peace when you want, and you have talks when you want. In defensive-offence, we see where the balance of equilibriums lies.

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“Pakistan’s vulnerabilities are many times higher than us. Once they know that India has shifted its gear from defense mode to defensive-offence, they will find that it is unaffordable for them.” Then came the line that went viral: “You may do one Mumbai you may lose Balochistan.” It was a giveaway, an eye-opener. This is the heart of the Doval doctrine in all its clarity.

He added: “We don’t need Pakistan. Let Pakistan bleed with Taliban problem if they do not leave terrorism as an instrument of their state policy. The second thing is how you deal [with] terrorist organizations. Third thing is to deny them weapons, funds, and manpower. Now funding may be denied with countering funds. If they have a budget of 500 crores, we can match it with 1,800 crores. So they would be on our side.

Tne is a defensive mode. That is, you see what the chokidars and chaprasis do, i.e. to prevent somebody from coming in. One is defensive-offensive.

They are mercenaries. Do you think they are great fighters? No. So, go for more covert steps. We will match them with money, we are a bigger country. So work amongst the Muslim organizations, they are more willing. There are only a few bad families. Last, make the paradigm shift; go for high technology, and in response, prepare for intelligence-driven operations”, covertly, of course, in commando style. Peaceful co-existence and dialogue are the terms not found in the Doval doctrine. Doval doctrine is, in fact, premised on jingoism, hawkishness, and aggression.

Therefore, we must orchestrate our counter strategy keeping in view of the nefarious designs of our adversary. India would never let peace flourish in our country. It has been and would keep creating hurdles in the way of development and progress of our country. Though utterly failed so far, India would employ all of its resources and diplomatic clout to isolate Pakistan in the comity of nations. What is most alarming in Doval doctrine is the launching of covert operations against our country which India has been doing and would keep doing so.

Read more: India could not answer many questions in ICJ about Kulbhushan Case

This time, they may be more devastating. To this end, it may connive with the proscribed terrorist outfits and the secessionist forces of Balochistan. It is now an open secret that India is involved in creating unrest in Balochistan. It became public when Baluchistan Liberation Organization (BLO) representative Balaach Pardili addressed a gathering in New Delhi on 4th October 2015. Mr. Pardili has been living there in India since 2009. Nawabzada Hairbiar Marri the leader of free Balochistan movement and head of BLO & Baluchistan Liberation Army (BLA) contacted Mr. Pardili to represent him at public meetings in India.

The second thing is how you deal [with] terrorist organizations. Third thing is to deny them weapons, funds, and manpower. Now funding may be denied with countering funds.

In addition, covert operations choreographed by India in Balochistan were confirmed by well-known Indian newspaper The Indian Express. It reported in September 2013 that army had destroyed documents of the so-called “Technical Service division” (TSD) before the army chief V.K Singh’s tenure ended. Sushant Singh wrote:” As per reports, the inquiry report (set up after his retirement) said that TSD had claimed to have carried out at least eight covert operations in the foreign country.

Read more: Voices inside India blame Modi for Pulwama

The TDS also allegedly claimed that in October and November 2011, it had paid money from secret service funds to try and enrol the secessionist chief in a province of the neighbour country.” There were thus two operations, eight covert and one of bribery. Is it far-fetched to guess that the “foreign country” was Pakistan and the” province” was Balochistan? To encapsulate, the yearning for peace between India and Pakistan in the presence of Ajit Doval and the like-minded in the Indian security establishment is just like crying for the moon.

What we can expect is more covert operations in our country especially in Balochistan. Warmongers like Modi and Doval would leave no stone unturned to regain their lost hubris. Therefore, we need to remain alert, cautious, and proactive …what is more important and the need of the hour is to forge unity among us; Since “By union,” remarked Sallust “the smallest states thrive. By discord, the greatest are destroyed.”

Advocate Abdul Rasool Syed is a lawyer by profession and is based in Quetta, Baluchistan. He also has MBA from IBA Karachi. He is passionate about writing and contributes to various publications including Daily Times and Frontier Post. The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Global Village Space. 

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